Escalating War of Words Between Ethiopian Government and Eritrean Government Raises Concerns of Military Confrontation

Mounting worries exist over the chance of warfare between Horn of Africa countries, Ethiopia and Eritrea, as hostile discourse has ratcheted up in recent weeks.

Ethiopia-Eritrea border
Ethiopia and Eritrea cooperated in the armed struggle in Tigray but they have later become estranged.

What Did Ethiopian Officials Declared?

Ethiopia's, being landlocked, demands for entry to the sea coast through Eritrean territory has triggered a intense war of words.

Ethiopian Prime Minister initially stated publicly in the previous year that his country's maritime access was an vital issue, statements that Eritrean authorities ignored.

Diplomatic connections between the two countries have regularly been difficult. After a prolonged battle for independence, Eritrea, which has a 1,350km (840-mile) sea border, formally separated from Ethiopia in the early 1990s, rendering it landlocked.

Subsequently, a territorial conflict started in which more than 100,000 people were killed.

Recent Statements from Ethiopia's Officials

Abiy and military leader General Birhanu Jula have directly stated ownership of Eritrean maritime facility of the port of Assab – some 60 km from the frontier - and suggested the desire to seize it militarily.

In early September, Abiy said Ethiopia's "mistake" of losing access to the sea as a because of Eritrea's separation would be "corrected in the future".

Ethiopia's ambassador to neighboring Kenya, former General Bacha Debele, said that the port was "belonging to Ethiopia" and would be restored "by force".

Eritrean Answer to the Statements

In the face of continuous threats from Ethiopian officials, Eritrea's response has been restricted to short statements on online platforms from Information Minister Yemane Gebremeskel.

The minister has dismissed Ethiopian requests for sea access labeling it "hazardous" and a "negative policy" of "irredentism" – a approach of retaking previous domains.

Government spokespeople alerted on 16 September that moves to validate "flagrant aggression" would have major implications for the Ethiopian government and its regional partners and is a "redline that should not be crossed|violated|breached".

Military Movements on the Border

Currently, there are no reports of major military movements in the boundary zones between the neighboring states.

Nonetheless, in the country, state television has displayed completion events of numerous trainees at different defense facilities.

The leader of human resources department of the defense force, the officer, commented lately in an conversation that the army was in a "secure situation" as "tens of thousands of youths" were joining it, which he said was "a message to our enemies".

Past Background of the Dispute

For decades from 1890, the territory was governed by Italian rulers.

After Italy's defeat, it was then administered by the British administration before evolving into a federated part of the Ethiopian empire.

But in the early 1960s Emperor Haile Selassie I terminated this system and Eritrea became totally absorbed into the Ethiopian state.

A three-decade long internal conflict occurred, ending with military reversal in 1991. Autonomy was then endorsed by voters in a referendum in 1993.

Briefly in the 1990s, there were positive ties between the governments in Ethiopia's capital and Asmara, but they clashed over the exact location of their shared boundary, leading to hostilities in 1998.

Even though this ended in a ceasefire agreement in 2000, it was never fully implemented, and the both countries continued at loggerheads.

This ended in 2018, when Abiy made gestures to Eritrea's leader Isaias Afwerki. The two signed a statement that the war was over – a decision that gained Abiy the Nobel Peace Prize.

The neighboring states were then allies in Ethiopia's 2020-2022 armed struggle in Tigray.

But diplomatic connections have since broken down anew.

David Phelps
David Phelps

A tech enthusiast and business strategist with over a decade of experience in digital transformation and startup consulting.